+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Bailey
Southpaw Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
1.56 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
69% Strike Defense 51%
1.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Bailey
41%
Gaethje
59%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Bailey Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Bailey Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Bailey Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Bailey Tactics
Journeyman"Shamar Bailey is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but his lack of striking and grappling statistics makes it difficult to determine his primary style."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
Gaethje vs