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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Santana

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
0.82 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
40% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Santana
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Santana Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Santana Tactics

Prospect

"Shaheen Santana is a developing fighter with a strong grappling background and a growing striking game, making him a potential dark horse in the division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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