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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Matthews

Switch Striker
70" Reach 71"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.82
51% Strike Defense 55%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 3.24
74% Takedown Defense 46%

Win Probability

Gaethje
54%
Matthews
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Matthews ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Matthews Tactics

Prospect

"Connor Matthews is a promising young striker with a high volume of strikes and takedowns, showing potential for a successful career."

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