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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Moraes

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.42 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
75% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Moraes
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Moraes Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Moraes Strike Defense
▲ Moraes Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Moraes Tactics

Veteran

"Sergio Moraes is a well-rounded fighter with decent striking and grappling skills, but his defense in both areas leaves room for improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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