+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
MacDonald
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
3.75 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
1.77 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
88% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
MacDonald
53%
Gaethje
47%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ MacDonald Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ MacDonald Strike Defense —
▲ MacDonald Takedown Defense —
▲ MacDonald Grappling Output —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
MacDonald Tactics
Elite"Rory MacDonald is a highly skilled striker with a strong record, but his grappling numbers are a concern, suggesting he may struggle against top-level grapplers."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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