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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Roberts

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.84 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.18 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Roberts
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Roberts Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Roberts Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Roberts Tactics

Journeyman

"Roosevelt Roberts is a journeyman fighter with a mediocre record and balanced skillset, but lacks a clear statistical advantage, making him a mid-tier fighter in the 155lbs division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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