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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Pawlak

Orthodox Kickboxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
1.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
1 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
70% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Pawlak
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Pawlak Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Pawlak Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Kickboxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Pawlak Tactics

Veteran

"Pawel Pawlak is a seasoned striker with a solid striking attack, but his grappling defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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