+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Diaz
Southpaw Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
4.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.05 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
41% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Diaz
48%
Gaethje
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Diaz Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Diaz Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Diaz Tactics
Elite"Nate Diaz is a skilled striker with impressive striking numbers, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped, making him a one-dimensional striker."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."