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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Matsushita

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.3 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
1.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Matsushita
40%
Gaethje
60%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Matsushita Strike Defense
▲ Matsushita Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Matsushita Tactics

Veteran

"Naoki Matsushita is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game, but limited grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent in the stand-up department."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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