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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Stumpf

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.34 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
47% Strike Defense 51%
1.59 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
33% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Stumpf
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Stumpf Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Stumpf Tactics

Prospect

"Mike Stumpf is a developing striker with a strong emphasis on offense, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and may hinder his progress."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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