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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Jackson

Orthodox Unknown
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
4.49 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.71 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
88% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Jackson
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Jackson Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Jackson Strike Defense
▲ Jackson Takedown Defense
▲ Jackson Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Unknown VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Jackson Tactics

Unknown

"Mike Jackson's limited experience and lack of grappling data make it difficult to assess his fighting style."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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