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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Grundy

Orthodox Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.09 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
4.06 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Grundy
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Grundy Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Grundy Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Grundy Tactics

Veteran

"Mike Grundy is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling background and decent striking skills, but his career has been marked by inconsistency and a lack of significant victories."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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