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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Davis

Orthodox Boxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
4.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
2.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Davis
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Davis Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Davis Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Boxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Davis Tactics

Prospect

"Mike Davis is a promising prospect with exceptional striking skills, but his grappling skills are still developing, and he may struggle against opponents with strong wrestling backgrounds."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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