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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Chandler

Orthodox Collegiate Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
4.04 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
1.96 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
61% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Chandler
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Chandler Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Collegiate Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Chandler Tactics

Veteran

"Michael Chandler is an experienced fighter with a strong striking record, decent grappling skills, and a long career, but may be nearing the end of his prime and facing increased competition from younger opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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