+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Baghdad
Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.13 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
46% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
33% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Baghdad
43%
Gaethje
57%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Baghdad Tactics
Journeyman"Mehdi Baghdad is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but his lack of striking and grappling statistics makes it difficult to determine his primary style."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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