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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mederos

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
5.46 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
0.23 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
82% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mederos
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Mederos Tactics

Contender

"MarQuel Mederos is a talented young striker with a high volume of strikes and impressive accuracy, but his grappling skills are untested, making him a contender on the rise."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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