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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Davis

Southpaw Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.72 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
65% Strike Defense 51%
1.6 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
47% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Davis
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Davis Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Davis Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Davis Tactics

Veteran

"Marcus Davis is a well-rounded veteran with a strong all-around game, but his striking accuracy is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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