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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Exposito

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
2.53 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
34% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Exposito
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Exposito Takedown Defense
▲ Exposito Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Exposito Tactics

Journeyman

"Manuel Exposito has a lackluster striking game and unimpressive grappling stats, making him a journeyman fighter at 145lbs."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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