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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Almeida

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
4.94 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
53% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Almeida
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Almeida Tactics

Prospect

"Lucas Almeida is an aggressive striker with a high volume of strikes, but his lack of grappling skills and defensive vulnerabilities may need to be addressed."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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