+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Nelson
Switch Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.6 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
1.18 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Nelson
48%
Gaethje
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Nelson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Nelson Tactics
Contender"Kyle Nelson is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but lacks a clear dominant style to take him to the next level."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."