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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Florian

Southpaw Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.41 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
2.22 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Florian
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Florian Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Florian Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Florian Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Florian Tactics

Veteran

"Kenny Florian is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling background and solid striking skills, making him a formidable opponent in the lightweight division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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