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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Barata

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
4.03 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
34% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Barata
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Barata Tactics

Prospect

"Junior Barata is a high-volume striker with impressive numbers, but his grappling numbers are concerning, and he may struggle against well-rounded opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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