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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Assuncao

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.31 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
2.43 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Assuncao
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Assuncao Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Assuncao Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Assuncao Tactics

Veteran

"Junior Assuncao is a skilled striker with high striking volume and accuracy, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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