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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Arce

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
4.36 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
68% Strike Defense 51%
0.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
96% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Arce
50%
Gaethje
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Arce Strike Defense
▲ Arce Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Arce Tactics

Veteran

"Julio Arce is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but his grappling defense leaves room for improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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