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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Burkman

Orthodox Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.69 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
2.53 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
72% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Burkman
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Burkman Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Burkman Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Burkman Tactics

Veteran

"Joshua Burkman is a seasoned veteran with a strong grappling game and occasional striking attempts, but his striking defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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