+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Smith
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
57% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Smith
42%
Gaethje
58%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Smith Tactics
Prospect"Josh Smith shows promise as a striker, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and may hinder his progress."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."