Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smith

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
57% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Smith
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Smith Tactics

Prospect

"Josh Smith shows promise as a striker, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and may hinder his progress."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore