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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Polakowski

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.6 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
87% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Polakowski
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Polakowski Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Polakowski Tactics

Unknown

"John Polakowski is an inexperienced fighter with limited sample size, showing some potential in striking but struggling with grappling and takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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