+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Stevenson
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.05 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
2.75 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
39% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Stevenson
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Stevenson Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Stevenson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Stevenson Tactics
Veteran"A seasoned fighter with a well-rounded skillset, leaning towards grappling, but showing signs of decline with a losing record."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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