+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Ellenberger
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.62 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
3.17 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Ellenberger
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Ellenberger Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Ellenberger Grappling Output —
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Ellenberger Tactics
Veteran"Joe Ellenberger is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling background, but his striking skills are limited, making him a threat on the ground and a formidable opponent in submission situations."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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