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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Pinedo

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
2.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Pinedo
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Pinedo Takedown Defense
▲ Pinedo Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Pinedo Tactics

Veteran

"Aggressive striker with a strong offense, but has shown some vulnerabilities in grappling and takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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