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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Stephens

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.15 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
1.11 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
62% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Stephens
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Stephens Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Stephens Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Stephens Tactics

Veteran

"A veteran striker with a high volume of strikes, Stephens has been a formidable opponent in the lightweight division for years."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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