+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Black
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.06 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
45% Strike Defense 51%
0.48 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
28% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Black
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Black Tactics
Elite"Jason Black is a well-rounded elite fighter with strong striking and grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent in the octagon."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."