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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Wilks

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
1.82 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
1.27 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Wilks
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Wilks Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Wilks Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Wilks Tactics

Journeyman

"James Wilks is a solid grappler with decent striking defense, but his low output and accuracy in both striking and grappling hold him back from being a top contender."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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