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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Aldana

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.59 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
0.93 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Aldana
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Aldana Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Aldana Strike Defense
▲ Aldana Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Aldana Tactics

Journeyman

"Hector Aldana is a decent striker with moderate volume and accuracy, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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