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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Trevino

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
64% Strike Defense 51%
0.97 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
41% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Trevino
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Trevino Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Trevino Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Trevino Tactics

Prospect

"Francisco Trevino is a high-volume striker with decent accuracy and defense, and a developing ground game."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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