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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Prado

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
3.68 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
0.76 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
40% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Prado
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Prado Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Prado Tactics

Contender

"Francisco Prado is a well-rounded fighter with a solid striking and grappling game, making him a contender in his division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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