Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Waters

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
79" Reach 70"
0.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
39% Strike Defense 51%
4.07 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
28% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Waters
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Waters Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Waters Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Waters Tactics

Prospect

"Dominic Waters shows potential with his grappling skills, particularly in takedowns, but needs to develop his striking and defensive skills to become a well-rounded fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore