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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Paiva Jr.

Southpaw Unknown
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
2.6 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
67% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
81% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Paiva Jr.
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Paiva Jr. Strike Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Unknown VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Paiva Jr. Tactics

Veteran

"Dinis Paiva Jr. is a seasoned veteran with limited striking and grappling skills, making him a tough read for opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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