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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rivas

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
1.37 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.79 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
64% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rivas
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Rivas Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Rivas Tactics

Prospect

"Diego Rivas is a well-rounded fighter with strong grappling skills and a decent striking game, but his sample size is still limited."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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