+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Chavez
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
67" Reach 70"
2.86 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
1.95 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
87% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Chavez
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Chavez Takedown Defense —
▲ Chavez Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Chavez Tactics
Veteran"Danny Chavez is a well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling game, but his striking defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to strikes."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."