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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Bush

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.77 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
41% Strike Defense 51%
2.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Bush
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Bush Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Bush Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Bush Tactics

Prospect

"Dakota Bush is a prospect with some striking skills, but lacks grappling ability and has been outstruck in many of his fights."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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