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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Warburton

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.13 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
2.35 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
83% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Warburton
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Warburton Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Warburton Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Warburton Tactics

Veteran

"Curt Warburton is a well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling game and decent striking, but his career trajectory has been inconsistent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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