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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Pfister

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
1.41 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
2.82 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Pfister
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Pfister Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Pfister Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Pfister Tactics

Prospect

"Aggressive grappler with high takedown volume, but struggles with accuracy and defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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