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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Pedersoli Jr.

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
4.17 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
2.91 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Pedersoli Jr.
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Pedersoli Jr. Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Pedersoli Jr. Strike Defense
▲ Pedersoli Jr. Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Pedersoli Jr. Tactics

Veteran

"Carlo Pedersoli Jr. is a skilled striker with a high volume of strikes, but his grappling skills are limited."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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