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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Zafir

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.99 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
6.11 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Zafir
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Zafir Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Zafir Tactics

Prospect

"Anton Zafir is an aggressive grappler with a high takedown average and accuracy, but struggles with defensive takedown skills and has limited striking output."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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