+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Robinson
Southpaw Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
1.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
1.24 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
25% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Robinson
39%
Gaethje
61%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Robinson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Robinson Tactics
Journeyman"Alvin Robinson is a seasoned grappler with a strong ground game, but his striking skills are underdeveloped, limiting his upside in the division."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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