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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Hernandez

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
4.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.05 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
68% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Hernandez
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Hernandez Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Hernandez Strike Defense
▲ Hernandez Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Hernandez Tactics

Contender

"Alexander Hernandez is a solid contender with a good record and balanced skills, looking to make a push in the 155lbs division with his well-rounded fighting style."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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