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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Jouban

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
5.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
0.51 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
58% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Jouban
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Jouban Reach Advantage
▲ Jouban Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Jouban Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Jouban Tactics

Veteran

"Alan Jouban is a high-volume striker with aggressive tendencies, but may be vulnerable to takedowns and submissions due to his relatively poor grappling defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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