+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Riley
Southpaw Boxing, Wrestling, Judo, Taekwondo
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
3.45 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
1.18 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Riley
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Riley Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Riley Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Boxing, Wrestling, Judo, Taekwondo VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Riley Tactics
Veteran"Aaron Riley is a veteran striker with a strong offense and decent defensive skills, but relatively low accuracy and grappling output."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."