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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Cruz

Switch Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
78" Reach 70"
7.58 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Cruz
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Cruz Reach Advantage
▲ Cruz Striking Volume
▲ Cruz Strike Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Cruz Tactics

Prospect

"Aalon Cruz is a high-volume striker with impressive striking numbers, but his lack of grappling experience makes him a one-dimensional fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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